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It wouldn't have taken supercomputers and weather satelites to determine cool what was inevitable, though those certainly helped determine when. As for "false alarms" - there had been a day cool and a half warning that it was going to be a category 5 and that it was going to slam right into New Orleans. With something on that scale, you only need to stay and be wrong once. Leaving, especially after a mandatory evacuation call, was always going to be a cheaper, safer option, even if nothing happened. There is one aspect to all this that I'm not cool sure anyone is quite thinking about yet - the ground there would naturally be swampy but has been drained and held fairly dry for a very long time.
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