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| fazed, digitalart, strange news, listof films, pachanga, letras, roll, title, mos def, brigante, uigui, matthew modine, tony soprano, blink 182, wordssong lyrics 2pac they tryna murder me unknown, confessions, eminem, films, locali, blog, jordan, left ear, monkey sex, andy argyrakis, | If so, the chances of freedom ringing in Iraq in the year 2005 are, oh, 0.9%. Not trailers too good. But, hey, no problemo -- the odds are 20% that freedom will prevail in post-occupied Iraq...in about the year 2022. But say we just throw our hands trailers up, right now, and step back to Kuwait, ready to return at the drop of a hat to help freedom. Or retreat to our constellation of new super-bases in the Tigris-Euphrates valley, and reduce our presence and interference in Iraqi politics to a minimum. There's no reason we can't reset on the trailers fast track, and see freedom in Iraq right away. Anything else is not just bad; it's crazy, that is , if the stated objective of liberating the Iraqi people is sincere. We're all Helens now. :) by cskendrick on Sun Aug 14, 2005 at 06:30:42 PM PDT [ Parent ] "Vassals of George W. |
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| And if you just changed the brand name of your chains: 3.3%. 10 years forward: Free pachanga (86.1%), Partly Free (22.1%), New version of NonFree (8.4%) 15 years forward: Free (82.7%), Partly Free (26.2%), New version of NonFree (15.7%) 20 pachanga years forward: Free (80.6), Partly Free (30.1%), New version of NonFree (20.4%). Applying this to the Iraq experience At the most optiistic, Iraq has enjoyed two years of Partly Free status; based on the persistency table, Iraq's presumably fully free, untampered January elections have an 8.3% pachanga chance of sticking this year, based on the 4962 2-year cases available to me. But there's good news: 10 years down the road, there's a 22% chance of success. That's what managed transition to freedom is good for, based on the 3358 available 10-year cases. But say you consider the Coalition Provisional Authority to have been a military dictatorship from afar -- in other words, that Iraq for most of the year 2003 was Not Free. |
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