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quotes, mike starr, classifiche, loser, f. gary gray, thesopranos, girly, sean cory, davina, com, jon stafford, saudi arabia,
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Your chances of being free are 4.7%. And if you swap one form tony danza of nondemocracy for another? 0.2%. 5 years forward: Start out fully free, you're still free 90.2% of the time. Start out partly free, your chances of full freedom are 15.8%. And if you just changed the brand name of your chains: 3.3%. 10 years forward: Free (86.1%), Partly Free (22.1%), New tony danza version of NonFree (8.4%) 15 tony danza years forward: Free (82.7%), Partly Free (26.2%), New version of NonFree (15.7%) 20 years forward: Free (80.6), Partly Free (30.1%), New version of NonFree (20.4%). Applying this to the Iraq experience At the most optiistic, Iraq has enjoyed two years of Partly Free status; based on the persistency table, Iraq's presumably fully free, untampered January elections have an 8.3% chance of sticking this year, based on the 4962 2-year cases available to me. But there's good news: 10 years down the road, there's a 22% chance of success. That's what managed transition to freedom is good for, based on the 3358 available 10-year cases.
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